In a recent Short, I suggested that opposing speed limits on German highways while laughing at Americans for opposing gun control is not exactly rational. Well, people reacted to that one, so in this video I’m going to be talking about some of the points raised.

Chapters:
00:00 National stereotypes
00:57 Clarifying
01:40 Apples and oranges
02:38 German roads are safer
03:12 We can still improve
03:47 Most fatalities are elsewhere
04:26 Interpreting the figures
05:46 From my perspective

Music:
“Style Funk” and “Hot Swing”
by Kevin MacLeod https://incompetech.com/
Creative Commons Attribution licence

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37 Comments

  1. 5:10 I'm studying traffic engineering and according to a class I took a year ago the statistic for deaths per million km in 2019 were as follows:
    Overall: 4.0
    Autobahn: 1.4
    Bundesstraßen (outside of towns): 5.9

    The source given is the Bundesanstalt für Straßenwesen (BASt), but I was not able to find this statistic on my own.

  2. A further aspect I haven't heard mentioned yet is the proportion of speed-related accidents on parts of the Autobahn that ALREADY HAVE a speed limit.
    I have no idea whether that data is even available but from personal observation I'd guess a general speed limit wouldn't do much for number of total accidents or lethality of those accidents. Simply beacause the people speeding usually go over the locally set limit. And I don't see them treating a general limit differently.

  3. It’s an interesting discussion – I’ve only driven once on an autobahn in Germany – in a hire Opel Meriva about 15 years ago. It’s a different way of driving but it didn’t feel unsafe. With the improvements to car safety as well as the adaptive cruise controls / car radar etc, these may be sufficient to mitigate against some / most severe accidents on the autobahns?

  4. The thing is, looking at it sensibly, a speed limit would be better. But i am not in favour of one. I simply like being allowed to go 180kph if i want to, i basically never do, but sometimes. And what i dont get about all these discussions is that it seems to be irrelevant to just want to do something. There are a lot of dangerous things which are allowed because people want to do them. And its the same for me with the speed limit debate. But if you think differently about all this, thats totally okay.

  5. I think the comparison works to a point but considering the potential number of saved lives differ a lot between the issue, one should not take it too far IMO. That being said, the savings in road maintenance alone probably justify a speed limit.

  6. While you discussed arguments that were made based on statistics for not introducing a speed limit, one additional factor these days got out of sight this way that would absolutely justify a speed limit. Fuel savings. While modern cars are already highly efficient compared to cars of the past (well, at least if you can afford the more expensive better equipped versions), it is no secret and we cannot hide the fact, that going 130 or 120 (or even lower) on the autobahn is way more fuel efficient than going for example 150 or above. For my car, the step from 130 to 150 already makes about a 2 l / 100 km difference. going even faster that discrepancy does rise even further, and as it seems not quite linear.
    Personally I think a speed limit of 130 would be absolutely ok for both reasons, fuel savings and safety. For even lower limits as some claim we need, I see the issue that speed limits even today only can be enforced to a very limited degree. It would also be easy to memorize, as it would be the same as the current recommended speed. (And around where I live, on about 95 % of the Autobahn I would love to even be able to go that fast at all). Without convincing people of the need, the lower the limit, the lower the acceptance.

  7. You want to put speed limits on the Autobahn because you want to reduce traffic accidents
    (You is to no one in particular btw)

    I want to put speed limits on the Autobahn to make Railbased public transit a better choice on inland journeys

    We are not the same

  8. The DIN that specifies road furniture on the Autobahnen is hopelessly out of date. Take the Leitpfosten for example. they may indicate the edges on secondary roads but placed at the side of the Standspur ( emergency parking lane??) are completely useless other than to indicate where the nearest emergency telephone is.
    Secondly, hardly any of the Autobahn are lit at night including intersections. Compare that to those in France, Belgium, Holland or Czech republic.
    Thirdly, the absence of any cats eyes either to mark the lanes or more importantly the edge of the overtaking lane where it meets the central reservation is darnright dangerous. You would think that the previously mentioned Leitpfosten may be used but no,
    In roadworks, temporary yellow lines are used which have priority over the permanent white lines. This is of course fine except at night when it is raining, it is very difficult to distinguish between the two!
    On the subject of traffic lines, there is so much inconsistency on what is laid out. You may see, for example, a sign for "no overtaking" but the lines in the middle of the road may or may not be laid out to reflect this.

    German contribution to road safety is to put a sign up. The latest usage is for 30kmh speed limit outside Kindergarten. This is fine of course but you must not only be aware what day of the week it is (Mon-Fri) but also the time of day when the speed restriction applies (07:00 to 16:30). In my cynisism, I maintain this is not for road safety but for the lawyers. If you do, heaven forbid, have an accident with a child involved, the law can crucify you 'cos there is a sign. I have seen in France or Holland for example, flashing lights to warn you to be careful. Germany? flashing lights are far too expensive, put up a sign and in the first few days a mobile radar trap behind the sign which will finance it.

  9. "I was deliberately provocative" is such an easy cop out for making a bad comparison and being unwilling or unable to admit it.

    Oh, you disagree? Sorry, I was just being provokative. Hope that gets you thinking!

  10. I tend to be on the side which is against a general speed limit on Autobahns. That being said, it is not unreasonable to demand one. It can prevent carbon emissions and unnecessary deaths without costing money directly. Sounds great, doesn’t it. Well, yes.
    But there is a tiny thing I want to mention: Banning alcohol completely would prevent more carbon emissions and way more deaths, also without costing money directly. So, if the arguments are valid to impose a speed limit, which they might, they are only more valid for a ban on alcohol.

    And yes, I do not really drink alcohol often and I sometimes go fast on the Autobahn, but I do consume alcohol more frequently than driving faster than 130 kph. This year I have had only one trip on the Autobahn were I really went fast – well, sort of at least. I had forgotten to remove the speed limiter for winter tyres and so my car stopped accelerating when I reached 210 kph, which was a bit annoying. Alcoholic beverages I have consumed three times this year – and I have never been drunk in my life and do not think I ever will be, nor have I caused a crash at high speed or on the Autobahn.

  11. The argument that cars, unlike guns, are not designed to kill is pretty laughable in my opinion when you consider that, even in the USA, not even half as many people die from car accidents than due to murder with guns. Knives, drugs, fire and explosives are not designed to kill people either, but overall they do it much more frequently than any gun. Not even most poisons were designed to kill humans, not to mention nuclear energy or greenhouse gases.

    Keep in mind, both (car related and gun related deaths in the united states) are about 40 to 50 thousand a year, but over 50% of gun related deaths are suicides that could not be prevented with weapon bans since the suicide rate in the USA is actually lower than in most western countries like germany which simply chose different alternatives.

    No, im not saying that 20 thousand murder victims are not worth restrictions of firearms. Thats a whole different argument and much more valid than the car one, yet a great argument to slow down cars as long as people die because of it aswell. By the way; most people saying to slow down traffic rightfully argue with the limitation of CO2 which is a demand of scientists, and not advocates for road safety.

  12. So let’s just pass draconian laws to effectively disarm honest, law abiding citizens, whose only reason for possessing firearms is for defense of themselves and their families. And let’s keep on coddling the criminal element that ignores the law anyway, and whose sole purpose of having firearms is to victimize the first group described above. Yes, that should work nicely. 🙄

  13. My car can go 240kmh and i will use this to get home quicker. Time on the road is time wasted. The Party that actually makes this law will loose 80% of their voters.

  14. Full disclosure I am for a speed limit generally, so keep that in mind while reading my comment. Nonetheless I think the biggest issue with the speed limit is the political gravitas we prescribe to it. I (anecdotally) know a number of people who in most other fields of policy hold a generally center left position, however they are massively against a speed limit, and they start focusing so much on that point that they ultimately vote for parties that have less in common with their other believes just to not have to drive 130km/h on the Autobahn. ( I doubt that the other way round exists and if so in much lower numbers but maybe they do) Long story short, I think that the speed limit issue is ridiculously minute in any case and it’s ultimately terrible for our civic discourse that it has this high importance for people either way round. We should vote because of economic policies, foreign policies and judicial policies. Not this crap imo 🤷

  15. Changes are possible, you just have to want it. The "bicycle paradise" in the Netherlands started with "stop de kindermoord" (stop the children's deaths) – an initiative aimed at preventing fatal traffic accidents, especially those of children.

  16. As Luxembourger, where I have both experienced our own 130 limit and German Autobahns, I find the intensity of this debate confusing. The big joke normally is that you cant reach over that speed on most autobahn anyway, due to either congestion or construction based temporary limits.
    On a lighter note, theres a joke about why Luxembourg has a limit when Germany doesnt. The joke goes that the reason for the limit is that if speeds werent restricted, people would accidentally drive through the entire country before they could hit the brakes!

  17. No no limits, we'll reach for the sky

    No valley too deep, no mountain too high

    No no limits, won't give up the fight

    We do what we want and we do it with pride

    No no, no no no no, no no no no, no no there's no limit

    No no, no no no no, no no no no, no no there's no limit
    -2 Unlimited

    🚗☁☁☁

  18. I never drive or drove more than 130 km/h. Just because I'm not comfortable with more. A limit in this ballpark would be acceptable, — to me. Would it save a lot of lives? Probably not. Definitely less than people dying from alcohol, cigarettes and the like. A marginal improvement (only 700 people die on the autobahn a year) cannot justify legal limitations. Reducing the speed limit there would probably save 50 lives a year at most. A lot if you are among them, probably not enough to justify a legal change which Germans would consider drastic. Other things as apparently innocuous as sugar are not forbidden. Germany suffers from a lot of overregulation, this might just be a relatively harmless security valve to release the mental pressure. The comparison to the gun laws may be more or less funny, but probably not really valid under many perspectives. You are the judge of your own style. No complaints from my side. Last but not least, that driving as fast as you want is not a constitutional right in Germany. A lot of the speed limit discussion is really ideological recently. More about C02 levels than safety. This fashion will pass with the next elections, both in Germany and in my native Austria. And that truly is a good thing. The population is not idefinitely ready to accept deindustrialisation and impoverishment. In just two to four years the government were incredibly effective in this regard.

  19. Hmm, interesting point! Regarding your argument – I'd like to counter or append/correct it a bit to open it up for interpretation:

    "The faster you are traveling, the more likely it is to be involved in an accident" may be statistically true, meaning these two factors correlate, but the causation is different. The causation is not about "Higher speeds -> higher accident rates" but rather "the more inappropriate the speed -> higher accident rates". Simple prospect: Are you more likely to crash your car in rainy foggy weather going 80 on a country road or going 150 on a clear sunny day, without traffic, on the autobahn? Of course you are more likely to have an accident in the first condition. The conditions matter way more then anything else. The lethality portion is completely true and there is little you can do to argue against that, it's simple physics. I still stand by the idea of not regulating speed limits for two reasons:

    Firstly, our current approach is, in my oppinion, how most things government related should be handled. To me, it appears as "We trust you to make good decisions as a responsible adult and your ability to evaluate the situation you find yourself in". This attitude also warrents the extensive and expensive driver training we do, as it ensures everyone who passes it has the ability to judge situations and act accordingly. It warrants the expensive TÜV controls on cars every two years. It's something of a balance – we trust you to operate your machine within the limits of every situation, and we eliminated outside influences like "Bad drivers" and "badly maintained vehicles" as good as possible to make sure your assesment doesn't have to include these factors. Putting up speedlimits feels like breaking that informal contract and will call into question all these expensive and tedious processes.

    The second reason is that I don't trust the government on implementing anything in a competent fashion. I simply object change because I'm 100% sure they will fuck it up. I have no trust in the abilities of any elected official because they are all incompetent and corrupt idiots who couldn't make it anywhere but in politics. Therefor I'd like them to change as little as possible because that limits the damage they can do.

    I know, both of those points are attackable, people on here will counter them, call me stupid or find them offensive or whatever, but to me those make perfect sense. And if anyone is deathly afraid of going faster then 130 km/h on the autobahn, the good news is they don't have to. I'm full on board with improving Deutsche Bahn to the point that it becomes the superior mode of transport. Just leave the autobahn as is and make the trains better.

  20. Speed limit on highways in most countries is stupid. 130km/h, really? Or even 110km/h in some countries? What are you driving on? Swiss cheese? Seriously. People are speeding on highways like it's nobody's bussiness and it's still safer than on a parking lot! I can agree that depending of circumstances a speed limit is wise. But also, after experiencing autobahns in Germany, people just aren't willing to drive that fast. With the technology that is common in last at least 20 years, speed limit of 200km/h on highways should be much more common across the Europe!

  21. Having just gone to Finland… I was thankful that the speed limit on the icy and snowy roads up in northerly Finland are just 60 or 80 km… can be quite treacherous with moose venturing about and the visibility is so low. But Germany and winter weather? 😅😮

  22. I love improvements. when it comes to autobahn I especially love the dynamic speed limits in some places. that is by far the superior solution, because sometimes even a strict general speedlimit of 100km/h is dangerous and sometimes there is no need for any limit on the same road. the problem I see with a general speedlimit is that alot of germans (normal and sane people) have a strong desire to drive fast sometimes. But when they are never allowed to do it, theyll do it whenever they want to and not when a traffic expert correctly evaluated when it's safe to do so. that problem is solved with the dynamic limits

  23. There are so many good proposals to support alternative modes, and to make ecological improvements for the traffic sector. Here Just a few: 1. Giving local communities more control and possibilities to enforce traffic calming measures. 2. Investing broadly Into public transport. 3. Breaking Up the car privileges in favor of pedestrians and bikes. 4. Car free Zones in the inner cities. 5. Actual realistic CO-taxes on Cars and special fees for unnecessary heavy vehicles. 6. A temporary Stop and reevaluation of all new Autobahn and bigger street projects in favor of investigating more eco-firendly alternatives. 7. Cheaper Public Transport for everyone… We almost got nothing of that… Instead of that, we get a stupid backlash on the vague Idea of a tempo limit. We could implement IT with almost no costs, and it would bring a lot of additional benefits, but we don't even get this minimal improvement. So…I personally need the tempolimit to gain back just a small amount of Hope for improvements in this sector.

  24. Stereotypes implies negativity, there is nothing negative about America's internal logical consistency that having the right to defend yourself naturally comes with the right to the appropriate means to defend yourself. Gun control is just mandating pacifism by proxy. When you accept "you cannot have a gun, even to defend yourself" you are just saying that you have no right to defend yourself. Why? Because it accepts the right just doesn't apply to the most suitable implement to defend yourself.

    What would be suitable? Anti-gun activists do not advocate for how effective something like a bow and arrow is at defending yourself, their entire argument depends on ridiculing any non-pacifist means of defending yourself. Their only alternatives are entirely passive like ruinously expensive panic rooms which are only practical for the super-rich. Or running away. Or they insist "don't worry about it, statistically it simply is never going to happen".

    The UK is now enacting stricter and stricter legislation about knives. Knives. Gun rights are the canary in the coal mine to fundamental attacks on the right to defend yourself.

    The UK now specifically bans taking ANY preemptive measures to actively defend yourself, by any means. Sure, you can lie, but a legal protection that depends on dishonesty will only protect the dishonest.

  25. Logical argument, most people in America have guns. Also a fact, most Americans are not in prison for murdering someone with their guns, also a fact. If this is the case then we can conclude there either they are and hide it well which is doubtful as it takes less time to kill someone with a gun therefore this place should look like a war zone OR this means that most Americans are not killing each other with these guns and that the ones that are, are people who are willing to break the law in general wether it be guns or not. Case closed.

    Now….let's get to an argument that's not logical, the fact that people are even complaining about having speed limit signs in general! How are you guys not all dead over there!? If you guys drive even remotely like us here in America, I wish your numbers regarding fatalities for the future well!

  26. I don't really care how fast people drive on motorways etc. they're designed for high speeds, and there are no other users. I do think the EU needs to do more to distinguish between streets and roads though, and in built up areas there should be a 30km/h limit on streets. It's not a number I plucked from the air, at 30 there's a 90-95% chance of surviving after being hit by a car or a truck. It drops to 50% at 50km and then off a cliff. I don't think putting the convenience of drivers ahead of safety for pedestrians and cyclists is morally justified. This is actually being implemented in a few cities like London, and it's deeply unpopular… and I actually blame the green movement for this, they plugged it as an environmental issue when it's a safety issue. That just irked people, especially as more and more people drive electric cars and think that this law is just to inconvenience them (which it is, I guess, but not because of some nefarious globalist elite).

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