The world is at war. This isn’t a war like the world wars of the past century, but rather a world at war, where what we’re seeing today and will likely continue to see for the foreseeable future is happening because we’ve been building up to it for generations.
The factors at play, and the way they have interacted with each other to cause the current state of the world have led to a breakdown of the established international order. Where there is no order, there is chaos by definition, and what we’re seeing today is a manifestation of that.
The clean up of the mess left behind by European Empires who arbitrarily drew lines on maps with territory rather than local populations in mind is breaking out into wars around the world.
Non-state actors have gathered power to break the Westphalian model of the nation state’s monopoly on violence, and are active participants in causing chaos.
The internet, and what it has meant for expanding the visibility of these problems and the societal discontent not just between countries but within them has escalated and accelerated historical cycles.
At the same time, historical cycles that have been seen countless times in the past that lead from the transition of one era into another, causing a restructuring of the global order, are very much at play.
The interlink between these, and the developments of recent years have led to what we see today: the world at war.
Ray Dalio’s Changing World Order: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xguam0TKMw8
WhatIfAltHist’s Weimar Germany Comparison: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P_ePdqoFBeU
Time Stamps
00:00 – Intro
02:53 – The Establishment Of The Status Quo
07:05 – Territorial Disputes Leading To War
10:14 – The Rising Power Of Non-State Actors
13:36 – The Internet’s Role In Conflict
19:03 – History Rhymes: The Big Cycles
24:52 – The Chaos From A Collapsing Order
26:50 – What The Future Holds
2 Comments
Although I may be mistaken, I believe the decline of American culture is an overstated notion. Rather, it is more accurate to say that competition is intensifying. Comparing the United States to Europe or the dutch is an inaccurate comparison, as these countries have distinct cultural and economic landscapes. Furthermore, it is challenging to predict the future with certainty, especially in the context of social media. Even as an outsider to the United States, I am confident that it will continue to evolve and thrive in the years to come.
Bless the algorithm this got recommended to me! Videos like this deserve much more exposure