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On the morning of August 6, Ukraine staged a bold raid across the its northern border of Russia. The target? Kursk oblast. The purpose? Chaos, or something more? This video explores the immediate aftermath of the raid, what Ukraine may be planning here, and Russia’s options in how to stop this from happening again.

0:00 Ukraine Makes a Surprise Play
0:42 What Has Happened
3:24 Why Didn’t Russia Stop Ukraine?
5:19 Will Ukraine Hold the Territory?
5:55 Ukraine’s Good News Cycle
6:33 Avoiding the Kremlin’s Strengths
7:26 The Kremlin’s Counterstrategies

The appearance of U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) visual information does not imply or constitute DoD endorsement.

Media licensed under CC BY-SA 2.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0):

By Ukraine Ministry of Defense:
Самохідна артилерійська гармата 2С7 “Піон” під час стрільб

Media licensed under CC BY 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/):

By Government.ru:
http://archive.government.ru/eng/docs/12281/

By Kremlin.ru:
http://tours.kremlin.ru/tour
http://en.kremlin.ru/catalog/keywords/78/events/50329
http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/55284
http://kremlin.ru/catalog/persons/67/events/58020
http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/60490
http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/61584
http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/61732
http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/65973
http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/66675
http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/69101
http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/69465
http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/73083
http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/73084
http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/73585
http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/73648
http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/73732
http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/74718

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48 Comments

  1. There is no single inch of historical Russia anywhere in Muscovy. Kureskъ and Sudža both are Ukrainian towns occupied by Muscovy since 1508 and 1918 respectively, so this is not an invasion but liberation.

  2. Currently, we cannot know what is really happening. Is this just a raid? Is it a full blown offensive launched with a greater goal in mind? If it is the latter, can Ukraine's forces cause enough havoc in the rear of other Russian forces on the border to cause them to retreat or surrender? Create a real panic.

    Ukraine is claiming that Russian conscripts who were behind the area where the initial breakthrough occurred, are surrendering on masse. Of course, the surrender of a few hundred conscripts doesn't mean very much. You would have to see whole brigades surrendering or just disintegrating for this to be meaningful.

    Finally, are there any important Russian supply networks; railroads really, that Ukraine's forces can destroy while they are in Russian territory? I guess we will have to wait to find out.

  3. It was already clear before that Russia actually lack personel to mane defenses in Russia. Russians sincerely believed that they would be protected by Imperial Mandate and some other delusional bullshit. hey simply don't have forces to defend the border.

  4. This is like the Ardennes offensive the desperate Nazis launched. It looked spectacular but in the end only used up Nazi reserves and hastened their inevitable defeat. So many parallels here.

  5. This seems pretty crazy to me as this might humiliate Russia to such an extent the inevitable counter attack by Russia is way over the top. Maybe that's what Ukraine is hoping for. Certainly came as a complete shock to Russia which had its border forces routed in short order now seen as surrendered. Amazed to see a red faced Putin as well so clearly this attack has had that desired purpose. Goes to show just how insanely personal all of this is to Putin something that is a clear mark of an unstable human being let alone World Leader. Putin is hardly new to anything such as this but still he sees all of Ukraine as nothing more than a #Grozny matter where nothing could be further from the truth than that. Puts the USA and Israel on notice as well. "No 2nd Fiddle!" bravo to that is an understatement.

  6. >Invades with 1000 troops
    >Immediately loses half of them and all of your vehicles
    Gotta be the most Eastern European thing ever

  7. Conscripts were already send on the battlefield! Legality is not what Russia care about. And mobilization do take place all the time! Putin never canceled it. It was only hidden under excuse of voluntarily signed contracts done on gunpoint. It was done so people in Russia would stop running away, but Russia did hit the wall with recruitment capabilities. In fact from the winter they still fight only thanks to help of North Korea. Russia was only bluffing that they can still going, trying force ultimatum.

    Meanwhile large number of Ukrainians were chilling on border with Belarus waiting for deliveries of crustal western systems.

  8. it is likely as you say, you dont build defences on the border, so push ahead, fight there, build defences where you were, then withdraw back to the new defences

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  10. It was as usual a totally useless move purely for a good image. Storming a place wich can't be held when they don't have enough soldiers major issues everywhere with ammo n recruiting etc.. just a stunt. Comparison was wrong also with timeline. Away from Frontline heavily defended vs a random place without incursions.

  11. Soooo people are amazed that Ukraine attacked another place than where Russia wanted them to attack? In fact Russia have fortified the parts of Ukraine they have invaded – so why would ANYONE attack there – when most of the border is virtually undefended?

  12. Meanwhile 40 states helping still got rekt, 4 himars in one day rekt, air defense almost non-existent in regions,no second line in North money magically disappeared also. No ammo, in some lines the deployed soldiers lived exactly 8 minutes and several units refuse orders. " We r winning" 🤦

  13. well, that means Ukraine has cut off any chances for negos and will be totally conqured, so the ukranian last resort to wihtdraw russian troops to fight back the incursion signals that ukranian soldiers are on the edge of total capitulation

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