Join Dan Lloyd as he reveals his seven “hot takes” for the upcoming 2026 pro cycling season. From Tadej Pogačar’s potential dominance to surprising predictions for Jonas Vingegaard and Mathieu van der Poel, we cover the biggest storylines to watch in the peloton. We also look back at how last year’s predictions fared and review some of your boldest takes from the community!

Chapters: ⏱️
00:00 – Introduction
00:20 – A Look Back at 2025
01:39 – 1. Pogačar’s Dominance
02:36 – 2. Ferrand-PrΓ©vot’s Ambitions
03:18 – 3. Pedersen’s First Monument
04:14 – 4. Vingegaard at the Giro
05:08 – 5. Ayuso’s Tour Breakthrough
05:56 – 6. Brennan’s Debut Win
06:44 – 7. No Monuments for Van der Poel?
07:18 – Reviewing Your Hot Takes
08:04 – Reviewing Comments

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23 Comments

  1. 1: Almeida will win either Giro or the Vuelta
    2: Evenepoel will beat Pogacar in one Road Race, but just one
    3: Ayuso will perform badly at the Tour de France
    4: Del Torro will surprisingly not perform well at the Tour de France
    5: Paul Magnier will win two (!) smaller spring classics like omloop, dwaars, Wevelgem, Scheldeprjis etc.
    6: Jasper Philippsen will beat Mads Pedersen and gain the green jersey at the Tour de France
    7: Pogacar will win the Montmartre Stage wearing the yellow jersey

  2. " My fragile career as a cycling commentator…" Dan, we don't love you for your ability to predict the outcome of races, we love you for your ability to distill the outcomes for us after they have happened.

  3. UAE's dominance will begin to fade. Superteams always have a limited lifespan because of competing interests. We saw our first signs of that with Ayuso, and Del Toro will be next. My prediction is they will finish with the second most wins in 2026.

  4. I think this will be a great year for the Brits. Oscar Onley, Matt Brennan, Tom Pidcock will all take TDF stages with Brennan also winning a Monument and Pidcock will get a podium on the Giro or Vuelta. I think Pogacar will finally win Paris Roubaix as only his bike handling off last year let him down.

  5. Appreciate the shoutout on my 2025 hot take predictions. Pressure on now to be just as far sighted.

    Del Toro to win Amstel Gold
    Brennan wins the renamed Ghent Wevelgem race
    Pogacar to win every race he enters
    Seixas top 5 TDF or top 3 Vuelta (depends on which he races)
    Brennan Green Jersey in TDF

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