Tour de France 2025 – PREVIEW / FAVOURITES / PREDICTION

Tour de France 2025 preview – top 10 favorites & podium prediction.

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0:00 – Tour de France 2025 course preview – stage breakdown
0:19 – Stage 1 – Lille Métropole – Lille Métropole
0:37 – Stage 2 – Lauwin-Planque – Boulogne-sur-Mer
1:25 – Stage 3 – Valenciennes Dunkerque
1:35 – Stage 4 – Amiens Métropole Rouen
2:05 – Stage 5 – (ITT) – Caen – Caen
2:35 – Stage 6 – Bayeux – Vire Normandie
3:05 – Stage 7 – Saint-Malo Mûr-de-Bretagne (Guerlédan)
3:35 – Stage 8 – Saint-Méen-le-Grand – Laval (Espace Mayenne)
3:40 – Stage 9 – Chinon – Châteauroux
3:45 – Stage 10 – Ennezat – Le Mont-Dore Puy de Sandy
4:25 – Stage 11 – Toulouse – Toulouse
4:45 – Stage 12 – Auch – Hautacam
5:35 – Stage 13 – (ITT) Loudenvielle – Peyragudes
5:55 – Stage 14 – Pau – Luchon-Superbagnères
6:35 – Stage 15 – Muret – Carcassonne
6:55 – Stage 16 – Montpellier – Mont Ventoux
7:25 – Stage 17 – Bollène – Valence
7:45 – Stage 18 – Vif – Courchevel (Col de la Loze)
8:35 – Stage 19 – Albertville – La Plagne
9:05 – Stage 20 – Nantua – Pontarlier
9:15 – Stage 21 – Mantes-la-Ville – Paris (Champs-Élysées)
10:04 – Le Tour – riders to watch + betting odds
17:55 – Tour de France – sprinter and climber’s jersey contenders
18:35 – Tour de France 2025 Cycling Guy top 10 favourites + podium prediction

#cyclingguy #TdF #tdf2025 #roadcycling

hi everybody this season is flying with the race of the season the tour to France approaching quickly the 112 tour to France will run from July the 5th to July 27th good for 21 stages covering 3,320 km and over 50,000 m of elevation K the 2025 to the to France will start with 185k stage presenting nothing in the way of the sprinters who will be battling it out for the first yellow jersey unique opportunity for the true sprinters and hence we’ll see plenty of teams controlling this stage for their fast man at 210k stage two is the longest stage of this tour edition and the first of only two stages hitting the 200k mark the last rider to raise his arms in Bulonare was Peter Sagan back in 2012 and you can expect a similar type of rider to take the victory in the yellow jersey here the stage is hilly presenting the riders with roughly 2,500 m of elevation gain and a brilliant finale with two roughly 1k long climbs at 8 and 10% in the final 10k followed by an uphill final kilometer so bring on the punchy types based on what we’ve seen in recent races don’t be surprised to see the GC favorites going up the road here in the company of Fard Nas and Vanderpool to name a few on stage three to Dunerk the word moves back to the pure sprinters note that we’re in a windy part of France here and that echelons may be a reality let’s hope we get to see some bombs thrown should the wind blow on stage four the world moves back to the punchy riders where we may once more see GC riders mixing it up have a look at the result of stage two going into this stage the final 40k are up and down relentlessly however it’s more likely that there will be a battle between the Pelaton’s best pinchers over the final 40 kilometers with good chances that the San ascent will be decisive from the top there’s a 5 km dive into the center of Ru and an uphill track into the finish on stage five then the riders get served a 33k individual time trial most of the course will be on wide flat roads in total there’s about 200 m of climbing so this is one for the Iro powerhouses expect another Apapul win here and keep an eye on Almeida just 11 seconds behind Aanapool in Normandy on a 17k individual time trial where Vineyakart and Pugacha conceded way more ghana is obviously another rider to watch here stage six then is the second and final one to hit the 200k mark this time around with over 3,200 m of climbing this part of the world is known as Norman Switzerland the code of Audrey 1k at 7.5% crests with 4k to go just prior to the big battle that will be fought on the 700 m long 10% hole to the finish line this is once again matanderpul vanard nas pogachar terrain stage seven is another hilly stage which nears the 200k mark and presents the riders with 2,450 m of climbing and a double passage over the mirang with the finish sitting at top the second climb which rises at 7% average over a 2k distance former winners on the miratang are Kadel Evans Vier Mos Dan Martin and more recently the amazing victory of Fonderpool in 2021 taking yellow in honor of his grandfather Pulidor stage eight will be for the power sprinters with the final kilometer being an uphill drag after a fairly easy day in the saddle in my book this is a pure Milan stage on stage nine which doesn’t mark the end of week one yet we get another sprint stage which brings us to stage 10 the final day of an extra long first week and presenting the riders with a taste of what’s to come in the second half of this tour to France this is a proper sawtooth mountain stage up and down all day good for 4,450 m of climbing in a 165k stage the climbing is spread out over a whole lot of second and third category climbs none of which are extremely long or steep except for the finish climb to Leondor which climbs at 8% average over 3.5K personally I don’t expect the main teams to control this stage and hence pre-race I’m calling it for the breakaway the second week starts with another sprint stage it presents the sprinters with only one real hurdle the code the peek 800 m at 12.4% 4% yet cresting with over 7K to go this is steep enough for a Vanard or a Vanderpool to maybe get some separation yet I don’t expect it to be long enough to split riders out of back to the point where they can’t get back ahead to contest the sprint stage 12 then is the first proper GC day in my book don’t get me wrong it’s highly likely we’ll have lost GC contenders by this point because the racing over the opening 11 days will be nervous and whether you like it or not some will get caught out and stage 12 is the first proper test 180k cresting the first category called the solor and second category called de border in the approach to the or category finish climb of this stage 13.5k at nearly 8% average the last two winners here were Nibali back in 2014 and Vineyukart in 2022 those times around the Hotakam climb featured later on in the tour yet it remains interesting to note that on both occasions these riders went on taking yellow to Paris in those respective tours on stage 13 riders are presented with an 11k individual time trial up the first category paragot 8k at 8% average so don’t let the stretched out stage profile fool you this is a proper climb in 2022 pugachar beat Finear to the line here in a sprint ad stage 14 then is a brutal mountain stage 182k featuring the or category turmal halfway through the stage 19k at 7.4% average cresting at an altitude of 2,115 m followed by the cold aspair and the cold the perasur to finish at top the category climb to super baner 12k at 7.3% average this Finnish climb hasn’t featured since 1989 and all those who won here in the past are resounding names ino and Bahamontes in individual time trial stages and Fuente Ramirez Lamont and Miller in the stages in line this will be money time for the GCman and pre-race i’m calling this one for Pagacher stage 15 ahead of the second resting day is another one for the punchy riders a stage which I expect to go to the breakaway i don’t expect there to be many sprinter teams to trust their sprinty boys to survive the padus so there will be less interest to control this stage this is a textbook alafilip stage the final week then starts with a bang 170k hockey stick stage featuring a flat approach into the mythical or category monu nearly 16k at nearly 9% average in total there’s less than 3,000 m of climbing on this stage yet they all feature in the final kilometers the last time the Vanu featured as a Finnish climb in the tour to France was back in 2016 where Thomas the Gent won the stage this year around I’m expecting the GC guys to battle it out here stage 17 is labeled flat by the organizers and it certainly looks like it could present some opportunities for the fast man even though we may see a strong break forming here given the uphill ultimatry of the first third of the stage also the GCman will have to be alert given there’s echelon potential in this part of France and then the riders are presented with the queen stage which is made up of three consecutive or category climbs starting with the coldong 22k at 5% average which is deceptive given the irregularity of the climb the cold laadan 19k at 8% average and finishing at top the cold la 26k at 6.5% average all in all good for 5,450 m of of climbing over 170k and reaching an altitude of 2,300 m this is going to hurt miguelang Lopez won here in 2020 and in 2023 Azak del Toro took the win here from Rkitello in the tour deaner just to let the brutality of the stage sink in behold these three profiles and stage 19 doesn’t relent either 13k only going up and down good for 4,500 m of climbing crossing the cold depre halfway through the stage and finishing in lapl 19k at 7% average in 21 Marik Padun won here in the doofine while in the tour we have to go back to Bogurt win back in 2002 in my book depending on the race situation going into the stage the climy breakaway riders could get a shot here stage 20 then is 184k K hilly stage with just under 3,000 m of elevation gain which will almost certainly go to the breakaway and we end with a sprint stage on the Shan Elise in Paris this time around with a catch given that it features the B the martra relatively close to the finish overall we’re presented with a course that features the toughest stages in terms of climbing in the second half of the race as you can clearly see from this chart presenting the cumulative elevation gain per stage so to summarize without knowing the actual race situation we have two individual time trials a flat one and a climbing one seven sprint stages and four punchy stages four breakaway stages two mountain ones and two hilly classic style ones and finally four proper GC days here’s an overview of the winners of the final 10 editions half of them going to Inos with three different riders F Thomas and Bernal three for Bugattach at UAE and two for Yonas Vinegard at Yumbbo Visma in terms of past performance at the Tour to France from the start list as it is at the time of recording three former winners are lining up pugachar Vineyagard and Thomas and three former podium finishers Broglitch Apapul and Adam Yates here’s the betting odds at the time of recording with Bugattacha and Vineyagard the obvious favorites and 10 favorites already at 151 now I’ll quickly go through all the teams pointing out riders I’ll be eyeing for GC as well as the Fastman and those to watch for the brakes note that the start list isn’t final yet confirmed teams are highlighted with a green tick mark the others are so far incomplete and preliminary starting with Remco apool at Sudal Quickstep 15 Romani and 14 doofine very eager in the Belgian championship and clearly showing good form that being said Philillips and Remco had to take a bow for Timas at Quickstep merier and his leadout man Vanerberger are also confirmed the others will be there to support Remco names being floated are Valent Shakman and Katano at the Grenaders expect Carlos Rodriguez to be their main man on GC and seventh on last year’s tour to France he’ll be supported by Thomas Dlus and Ghana also expect Gatkovski Foss and Arsman on this roster where so far this season we’ve seen Foss surprisingly often in the breakaway action uae is lining up here with a completely bonkers team pagachar Almeida and Adam Yates is a monster trio with both Almeida and Yates being solid GC contenders in their own right on any other team almeida who won the bus country Normandy and D the Swiss yet of course it’s all about Pacar who dominated the doofine even though we saw a dipoff performance on the individual time trial during that stage race we’ve often seen that UAE isn’t afraid to give freedom to the people on their grand tour roster to compete for stage victories where they have plenty of opportunities for Narvvice on the punchy stages that kick off this tour to France obviously Wells also be willing to show his freshly obtained Belgian championship jersey at Fisma Lisa Bike we get a bunch of strong rulers in support of Fiona Finugard with high altitude support in the form of Jorgensson Cous and Simon Yates fresh of a Jiro Ditalia win while I expect Fernard to get a free roll he’ll have tons of opportunities in the opening days and I would not be surprised to see him go for green here it has to be said though that his preparation has once again been far from perfect with him dropping out of the Belgian Championships due to an intestinal flu we saw in the Dolphin that Yonas was too strong for the entire field but one given that he didn’t have yet what it takes to follow Pagachar petrao at Baran wrote P10 on last year’s tour and you could say he’s in comparable form this year around at age 21 i’m not expecting them to push Lenny Martinez for GC yet write him down for some mountain breakaway action and look for Bahos in sprint stages and rides on the punchy stages karapas put on an amazing performance during the Jirro dital italia and was set for a good tour the France result yet then saw himself forced to drop the tour due to an intestinal infection so I’m expecting them to aim for stages instead lipoitz has shown solid form throughout the season and he’ll be Rogich’s main man along with Flazoff who hasn’t had an impressive season so far rogich had a disappointing Jirro which was marked by a lot of crashes personally I’m afraid we’ve seen the best of Rogich and I would not be surprised to see him drop time with Lipoitz ending up higher on in GC with Fiti M and Van Poppel they also have some seriously fast men lining up here with actually a special mention for Danny Van Poppel who outsprinted Olaf Koy for the Dutch national title at Moistar we get Mus third in Catalunia and second in the bus country yet only managing P7 in the doofine he will be surrounded by some strong riders to the likes of Castrio and Romeo the freshly crowned Spanish champion also look out for Garcia Cortina on the versatile sprint stages at Groupama i’m expecting mainly Gregoire in the hunt for stages while Aski is a force to reckon with in the hilly stages needing fast legs at a finish and also for Astana it looks like their main goal will be to bring home a few stages at Jao Alula Okconor is the one to watch for GC he wasn’t up there yet on the doofine yet his form is clearly on the rise on top they’ll be looking for sprint success with Kunova and we all know Schmidt who just beat Hershey to the Swiss national title is a rider to contend with on the punchy stages then don’t be surprised to see Plop in the climy breakaways at Little Trek look for Scal Mosa on GC simmons from the breakaway nice for the punchy stages and Milan in the fight for green only third in the tour the Swiss yet nearly 2 minutes behind Almeida remains the rider to watch for GC at Postanel and keep an eye on Lint Andreas in the fast stages and Pavl Bitner in the hilly versatile ones vocal wrote an impressive tour the Swiss second to Almida for the tour I hope from the bottom of my heart to see him go for stage wins instead though then look for Dear or Capio in the sprint stages at Lotto look for the Lee in the sprints and frankly I also hope to see Vanfeld in the hunt for stages other riders to be expected on this roster include sepa bermicus and Alex Zard at Coffeidis i’m expecting the same look for Bman in the climbing stages Aramuru on the punchy ones and Brian Kokar in the versatile sprints total energy will also be trying to get a stage win with Yagat in the climbing stages Burgodo in punchy ones and Janeier in the versatile sprint stages a stage win is something Alpasin is almost certain about even though we only have two riders on the starting list so far I actually expect both Phillips and Vanderpool to win more than one stage on this tour to France philillips showed amazing form in today’s Belgian championship and I have this feeling that this may well be the tour where Vanderpool turns around his bad DDF fortune also Gross name is floating around which if he lines up is another potential stage winner for Andermâé the stage hunt is also their best strategy with Simmerman in the climbing stages yet especially in the faster stages they have quite a bit of firepower here with Rex P and Germay all properly fast atlon agrar Felix G’s form has been on the rise 15 the tour of the Alps and fourth in the tour the Swiss 8 in the 23 tour and 14th on last year’s edition so certainly a contender for the top 10 in my book while Berte for example certainly will be in the hunt for stages Es also Premier Techch Uno X and Tudor are in it for the stage win jake Stewart is definitely one to watch at Premier Techch fresh of a great win in the doofine and Akerman will be looking to mix it up in the fast stages while Blackmore will be interested to see how he fares on his first grand tour yuna X also has a bunch of riders for all types of terrains with Lenun very skilled and court all proven winners the Holland Johannes brothers are also both in amazing shape johannes just won the tour of Slovenia and Tobias ended the Dolphin in fifth behind Avenul yet ahead of Jorgensson and finally also the Tudtor boys will be in for the stage hunt here she alip Trenin is quite a trio for the punchy stages with Alafilip being in the best shape according to recent performance while I would not be surprised to see Stoa right for the pola dot jersey here’s an overview of our main favorite stage race results of this season from which we can clearly see that with the exception of Ramco all are in winning shape yet before I give my GC stars let’s have a quick look at the 10 sprinters to watch in my book philips at Alpasin the kerning the Lee at Lotto Destiny merly at Sudal Quickstep kunaway at Jiko milan at Little Trek bahos at Bahan germa at Enter Mar Landre at Picnic Postel Stewart at Premier Techch and Vampel at Bora Hanssgrow notable mentions are going to Vanard at Fish Malisa Bike Demar at Ara Shaier at Total Energy M at Red Bull Bora Acriman at Premier and Da at Tudor it’s always a bit of a gamble as per whom goes for the pola dots yet the way this parkour is set up I would not be surprised to see the fight for the pola dots to be between the GC contenders with the winner of GC also claiming the pola dots and if it’s not for them I’m calling store at this point in time in terms of stars Pogachar and Vineyagard are my four-star favorites for this year’s tour to France jorgensson Almeida and Aapul get three stars simon Yates and Lipovitz get two stars and Rogich Carlos Rodriguez and Okconor each get one star as for the podium I’m respecting the logic and I’m calling Pugacha for the win ahead of Finukard with Lipovitz as a surprise third as some of you already know I’ll be missing out on the opening weeks of this year’s tour which is a bit of a bummer both for those following the channel and for me because the tour is obviously the event of the year yet sometimes life takes over and I have no way around it i’ll be doing dailies in the final week though till then have a blast enjoy the first two weeks